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Review - The Singularity is near - Ray Kurzweil
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Subtitled "when humans transcend biology", software entrepreneur, futurologist and life extension enthusiast Ray Kurzweil's book is a heavy tome with a powerful message. Technology is advancing exponentially. Within the next 40 years, he expects that human life will be pretty well definitely extended, and that a combination of biological developments, nanotechnology and computing power will see human beings being converted into version 2.0 - a whole new being. This point in time, when technologies converge to enable us to become something more is known as the Singularity, after an idea from the 1980s by Vernor Vinge.
In principle this is a fascinating topic, but Kurzweil's book makes heavy weather of exploring it. He blasts us with relentless graph after graph showing trends. He cuts in cutely little imaginary conversations. And he goes on, and on for getting on for 500 pages.
Considering just how much there is in here, Kurzweil can be quite skimpy with facts. In summarizing the progress we've made in robotics you would think multi-capable robots were lining up ready to take on most human tasks. In fact, in 2004, when DARPA arranged a race for robot off road vehicles - all they had to do was cross rough terrain for around 130 miles - none of them survived. In fact the best of the managed just over seven miles before bursting into flames. Another fell over on the start line. This is not the sort of technology that is mature enough to change our future any time soon.
Some of the points here are excellent, but the whole presentation makes it less than readable. One of the best bits was a chapter listing all the arguments against the Singularity (though missing some of the crucial ones), then shooting them down - and even this wasn't entirely convincing. Worth reading because it's an interesting topic, but it could have been a much better book.
Reviewed by Brian Clegg
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Last update 05 June 2007